Monday, December 26, 2005

Prediction 2006

Prediction 2006     

Much as I just showed I made some predictions round this time last year and it didn’t work out so good for me. But prediction is a skill, and a skill one can develop and refine with time so without further Aideu

LARRY PREDICTS 2006

First let’s show the Returning predictions. These were held over from 2005 predictions, or partial credit ones that need some events in 2006 to flesh them out more. Also included will be the “Jury is still out” questions where I’m not sure a clear resolution will occur before December 31st, 2005

#1 I will have a Regular lady in my life

I have a strong prospect that well if everything goes as I plan it to will work out by the end of 06. But even if that fails I predict I’ll be dating some one

#2 Howard Stern will not make Sirus the next big thing afterall.

I didn’t realize the Stern run up would take as long as it did in my predictions for 2005, now that the Run up is over I predict by this time in 2006 Stern won’t redefine Radio into the satellite age.

#3 Michael Moore's next documentary (Sicko) will actually have very few fraudlent techniques used, softening his critics up for his next ( more political) Work

Held over till Sicko actually is in theaters

#4 Colts win the Superbowl

I was not as much of a football fan then as now… I thought the Superbowl teams would be set up by now.

I not so smart on that angle but I predict Tony Dungy will see the Superbowl and will win.

#5 The Gaza disengagement will Kill Ariel Sharon politically and Labor and Likud will both lose out in the new elections to a new party formed to "reform" the nation of Israel.

These are two partials from Partial Credit predictions. I predict Kadmia will have plurality but not a sufficient Plurality to form a government. I predict with his health, the role he and Shimon Peres have played in essentially mortally wounding the political parties they were Icons from neither of those men can form a Unity government at the helm. I predict Kadima will lead the next government of Israel, but that Sharon will be retired from Israeli politics as will Peres. The founding generation of Israel will finally fade from the political stage.

#6 The catholic church will stop the hemoraging over kiddy sex scandals

I think the scandals will start decreasing after late 05 early 06 and start to go into a long term decline as the churches various attempts to oust the criminals will finally bear some fruit.

Now I am going to bring back some of my failed 2005 predictions because I think they may either be “prime” to happen or they are just pretty good.

#7. I will be at least 10 pounds lighter then my current weight as of 12-31-05

#8. I will end my 6 year cold streak on sexual intercourse
**truth is I think it is technically approaching 7 years now**


#9. Don Rumsfield will resign as soon as he has a face saving moment to resign, and the ability to spin it that he resigned on his time table.

Basically I think 2005 was to hot for Rummy to politically leave. I think he will have some health reasons that will help him decide to make a political choice for physical reasons.

#10. Another Major Media scandal will break. This time it will hit an Organization at such a level it will be Dead to the audience

#11. a backlash will occur against all the Uber PC moves by the FCC.. things will go back to some semblance of normalicy in 2006

#12. A Major "Gay" celebrity will reveal he really isn't gay. that he claimed to be gay for marketing his career

#13. Bush will break out his first Veto

Ok that’s the 13 returning players…… and on for NEW PREDICTIONS FOR 2006

#14. The Liberal Party will some how retain power in the next elections in Canada. While most likely as a tactic bashing the United States will play a large role the Liberal party will continue to play regional advantage. However the Liberal party will still hold a minority government, albeit a smaller one.

#15. Due to the poor performance and some serious flops in major races Stephen Harper will get dumped as party leader and some one in a mold of George W. Bush or Bill Clinton will introduce a “Third Way” type of political reform to the core of the Conservative Party agenda.

#16. Several small city government or small municipal agencies will threaten to write off their pension programs all together. Some States will talk about merging the liability with their cities but the collapse of these small municipal pension and health funds in areas where population and tax base are declining will be a major issue in the election of 2006.

#17. Two other major non-vested pension funds will go belly up in 2006. Many labor unions will take public a debate on “saving jobs” or “protecting retirees”. Debate will be formed on the government assuming these fund debts for defense contracting firms.

#18. I will get financially solvent and be caught up on all dues and private friends loans that I owe,

#19. The Iraqi Bill of Rights will be passed in the new Parliament

#20. A compromise will occur to allow a de-baathification of the Sunni Candidates elected in the Parliamentary elections.

#21. A Second assassination attempt will occur against the Iranian President. He will claim the Madhi personally reached his hand into his body to save him from the assassin’s strike.

#22. Bashir Assad will not be President of Syria, and probably not be a resident of Syria by 12-31-06

#23. During the height of the 2006 election Bill Richardson will launch a bold border proposal that will be highly federalist, working with county and city officials along the border, and completely forgotten once the election is finished.

#24. By the end of 2006 the Iranian government’s nuclear program will finally come up for a vote before the UN Security Council; But to attack the nation who destroyed iran’s nuclear program. The US and Great Britain will both veto the measure leading to major calls for Security Council reform.

#25. Kofi Annan will resign before the end of 2006 and retire to a nation which will agree not to deport he nor his son Kojo to prosecutors in the United States.

#26. In order to form a coalition government KADIMA leader Ariel Sharon will have to step out as the candidate for PM and allow Ehud Olmert to be awarded the position as a compromise candidate.

#27. We still won’t have Osama Bin Laden captured. But we will capture or Kill his #2 man.

#28. The national Average for Low grade (87 octane) gas will be no less then 1.89 and no more then 2.09. It will be far closer to the 1.89 then the 2.09.

#29. The price per barrel of light sweet crude in New York will be 10 dollars a Barrel less before the Winter Fuel Season . Oil Prices will be on average 1-5 dollars a barrel cheaper then the same time in 2005.

#30. The Republicans will gain no more then 2 net seats, and do no worse then a Push. If a candidate other then Katherine Harris is nominated Bill Nelson join a growing list of State wide Democratic office holders shut out in the south.

#31. The Change in the US house seats will be no more then 5 seats in either direction. The republicans will maintain control.

#32. The Republicans will maintain their dominance over Florida Politics till 2008 but the wins in 2006 will be rather anemic and suggest an opening for State Democrats will be possible.

#33. My friend Mark will lose his race for County Commission

#34. Trent Lott will have the inside track and take over his old office as Majority leader, with the cheers of many of those in the world of blog who called for his ouster.

#35. After the elections of 2006 a “Dump Dean” Movement will get serious legs which will lead to Howard Dean running for President in 2007

#36. This time next year (12-31-06) I will be making plans to relocate to the swamp in DC by 06-07

#37. Dick Cheney will resign from office for health reasons by the end of 2006

#38. Movie Producer, legendary coke fiend, and massive freak Robert Evans will die quietly in his sleep in the second half of 2006

#39. The Yankees will not make it to the World Series in 06, and will in fact be shut out of the playoffs outright.

#40. No massive natural disasters like the Tsunami or Hurricane Katrina will occur in 2006. While some natural disasters will occur they will be more on the normal scale.

#41. Karl Rove will not be indicted in 2006

#42. Saddam Hussein will attempt Suicide before a guilty verdict occurs in his trial.

#43. The Patriot act will get a second Temporary extension until after the 2006 elections. The Democrats will get this compromise under the gun of a filibuster.

#44. Bill Frist will attempt to pull the gun on the Constitutional option and will fail, making him a lame duck majority leader. This will occur over the Alito nomination when it makes it to the senate floor.

#45. The movie Box office will only lose 3% in 2006, this will be seen as a “victory” by the industry even though it is a 3% loss vs. 2005 film recipts

#46. A major academic fraud in a hard (I.E non social Science) will occur in a type of fraud that parallels Stephen Glass and the kind of frauds perpetrated in the major media. This Fraud will lead to every major scientific organization leading to protocols which make partisan, political, or financial tribalism a thing of the past… or at least that’s what they hope. But the Protocols won’t go into effect until 2009.

#47. A major Chinese manufacturing firm will be caught violating US and European intellectual property which will lead to the start of a trade cold war with China.

#48. The Neo-Marxist/Neo-Communist forces in Central and South America will lose an election in 2006 and lead to a recoiling of the people from their movements.

#49. The redistricting reform Amendment in Florida will pass

#50. the USF bulls will go into double digit wins for football.


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